| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | L | South Carolina | 0-57 | 1348.4 | -53.3 | 1295.2 | 2.2% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | W | Wofford | 36-15 | 1295.2 | +25.6 | 1320.7 | 58.8% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | L | Ohio State | 3-59 | 1320.7 | -7.9 | 1312.8 | 0.5% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | W | Ball State | 26-13 | 1312.8 | +17.9 | 1330.7 | 51.9% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | L | Ohio | 10-13 | 1330.7 | +40.4 | 1371.2 | 16.2% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | L | Western Michigan | 7-38 | 1371.2 | -3.5 | 1367.6 | 14.0% |